Thursday, May 28, 2009

Malaysia's economy contracts 6.2% - The Star Online, 28 May 2009

Well...

The number is out....

What can I say?

I need to check who won the bet?  I certainly did not.  

-3.73% is quite way off -6.2%...  

If 2Q2009 is expected to be quite similar to 1Q2009 results then Malaysia is technically in recession!

Recovery in 3Q and 4Q2009 must be huge to offset 1Q and 2Q2009 to ensure positive GDP growth for 2009.  Would this be possible given the uncertainty in too many fronts?

Wednesday, May 27, 2009

Kewibawaan Petronas Wajib Dipertahankan - A Kadir Jasin

Komen saya terhadap tulisan A Kadir Jasin bertarikh 27 May 2009.
____________________________
Sdr. A Kadir Jasin,

Jikalau Petronas "jatuh" ke tangan individu-individu tertentu yang kontraversial maka "The Beginning of an Ending has set in...".

Saya dah lihat macamana FELDA telah diporak-perandakan setelah R M Alias bersara dalam tahun 2001.

Saya tidak pasti samada kemunculan golongan tertentu (termasok ahli politik) dalam organisasi strategic pernah membawa tuah.

Yang saya lihat, kemasukkan "tokoh-tokoh" tertentu (terutama sekali ahli politik) selalu membawa padah.

Segala usaha serta pengorbanan tenaga kerja Petronas selama ini akan menjadi sia-sia.

Sejak Petroleum Development Act 1974 diwartakan, Petronas telah dikendali dan diurus olih golongan profesional dan berwibawa. Golongan yang tidak mudah tunduk dengan telujuk para politikus serta suku-sakat mereka.

Jika golongan profesional dan berwibawa ini di ganti dengan golongan berkepentingan, maka jahanamlah Petronas sepertimana yang dialami olih FELDA pada masakini!

Sekian.

Monday, May 25, 2009

Spending is ALWAYS easier than Saving

To build up an organisation from zero takes courage, determination, integrity and foresight.  

Not many people could actually claim to have such resolute during these "modern" days.  Now people are generally more susceptible to temptations that tend to make objective judgement difficult.

To repay debts is a huge challenge.  Repayment of debts ahead of time is often unheard off, especially among government agencies.

It takes an equally huge challenge for organisation to build its reserve.  But it takes less than a blink of an eye for the reserves to be depleted.

This is exactly what is happening to FELDA now!

Since taking over Chairmanship of FELDA in 2001 from R M Alias, Yusof Noor has proven without doubt that "Spending is ALWAYS easier than Saving..." and integrity, credibility and foresight are not prerequisite to being a good spender!

FELDA - Part 3 (The Beginning of an Ending...) would showcase the need to have people with integrity, credibility, and foresight to lead/head an organisation!

Saturday, May 23, 2009

Perak - The "Confusion" Continues...

The Appeal Court decided the "rightful" Menteri Besar of Perak is Zambry.

While I respect the learned Judges' decision, this "confusion" would continue.  For all intent and purposes, the decision should be made by the State Assembly or the people of Perak.

A State Assembly sitting should be called and the motion of no-confidence against Nizar should be tabled.  The Speaker (from Pakatan) should allow this motion to be tabled accordingly.

If that does not break the impasse then a fresh election should be called.  This way the people of Perak would be the decision makers.  We should try to avoid putting this very heavy responsibility on the shoulder of a very few people as discontentment would persist.

My five-sen worth of thoughts...

Friday, May 22, 2009

First Quarter 2009 GDP Numbers

Next week Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) is expected to announce the country's first quarter (1Q2009) GDP numbers.

A number of predictions have been made, ranging from -1% to -4.9%.

I have had the honour to "bet" (albeit with no cash or "in-kind" at stake) with the Economists in the organization that I work for. The only "reward" for correctly predicting the 1Q2009 GDP results is the right to say "I told you so!".

I am not an economist and the only economics subject I took was "ECONS 101". Nonetheless that would not prevent me from making my prediction. 

My prediction is based on whatever indicators my colleague would rattle to me whenever I asked for statistics on industrial production, manufacturing, demand, exports, etc.

Basically my prediction is based on "gut-feel".  No complex computation or model used, just the old, pure "gut-feel"!

I predict that the 1Q2009 GDP would be -3.73% compared to theirs that ranged from -2% to -4%.

We will wait till the official announcement by BNM next week, on 27 May 2009 I was told.  

Whoever predicted correctly or is closest to the announced number would have the right to say "I told you so!"  

Let the "best predictor" wins...

Singapore economy contracts less than expected in Q1

SINGAPORE: Singapore said yesterday its export-driven economy contracted a better-than-expected 10.1 per cent year on year in the first quarter but warned it saw no clear signs of a quick recovery.

The trade ministry maintained its forecast for the economy to shrink between 9 and 6 per cent for the whole of 2009 as the city-state grapples with its worst recession since independence 44 years ago.

Despite the steep drop, it was better than the 11.5 per cent fall earlier tipped by the government.

In the three months to March gross domestic product (GDP) fell 14.6 per cent compared with the previous quarter on a seasonally adjusted basis.

However, this was also smaller than the government estimate of a 19.7 per cent drop and better than the 16.4 per cent decline recorded in the December quarter, the trade ministry said.

Analysts and the government said GDP may have hit bottom, but recovery may take a while.

Singapore's fortunes remain dependent on the health of the world's major economies, which buy much of its exports, including microchips and pharmaceuticals.

The economy fell into recession late last year as the global economic downturn accelerated but still managed to grow 1.1 per cent over the 12 months.

"The reason we have a forecast range of minus 6 to minus 9 per cent (GDP decline) is because we really don't know," Ravi Menon, second permanent secretary at the trade ministry, said at a briefing.

"What we are a little surer of is that we have probably seen the bottom. 

But what we do not know is whether we are going to stay at the bottom for a little bit longer or whether we are going to start having a decisive rebound." Menon said there was no need for another stimulus "at this point in time" after a US$20.5 billion (US$1 = RM3.53) package unveiled by the government in January.

"The situation has not worsened since the last reading," he said, adding that "things are not likely to get worse from this point on." The key manufacturing sector contracted by 26.6 per cent from the previous quarter's shrinkage of 21.3 per cent as the global downturn hurt demand for exports.

Services, another pillar of the economy, contracted 10.3 per cent quarter-on-quarter as tourism-related arrivals tumbled, but the decline was less than the 15 per cent fall in the three months, the ministry said.

"Despite the ugly data, the good news is that first quarter 2009 could mark the very deep bottom of this economic cycle," said economist Song Seng Wun of CIMB-GK.

"Year-on-year GDP contractions should narrow even if we do not see sequential improvements in the next few quarters, as year-ago bases are less challenging." - AFP


____________________________
Comment:
The Public Relation strategies employed by Malaysia and Singapore appear to be very contrasting.

It does appear that politicians in Singapore have a tendency to err on the conservative side.  With that strategy, I suspect that they would not be ridiculed too much when the official results are announced.  After all, it is better than "we" predicted!

In Malaysia, it is quite a direct opposite.  Politicians here in Malaysia have a tendency to paint a rosier picture.  However when the official results are published a lot of explanations are required.

Interesting...?  I think so.

Thursday, May 21, 2009

THINK DEEP AND HARD ABOUT THIS, BN & PR!!!! - Zorro Unmasked

Taken (without permission) from Zorro Unmasked...


Sunday, May 17, 2009

Iktibar Daripada Cerita Presiden Obama

Komen saya terhadap komen Sdr. Roti Planta di blog A Kadir Jasin...
___________________________________

Sdr. A Kadir Jasin,  

Mohon permisi untuk menjawab sikit komen Sdr. Roti Planta.  

Memang benar ada dikalangan pelajar yang "dipinggir" olih JPA ditaja olih badan-badan koperat tertentu. Memang benar keputusan mereka tidak berapa "cemerlang".  

Tetapi diantara kes-kes yang saya ketahui terdiri dari pelajar straight "A's". Mereka ini bukan semuanya dari bangsa Cina. Malah ada juga orang Melayu dan India yang dapat tajaan dari kerajaan Singapura.  

Jika diteliti dari sudut keputusan mereka yang saya perkatakan adalah terdiri dari golongan pelajar cemerlang tetapi tidak mendapat biasiswa JPA.  

Adakah ini ada kaitan dengan status ibubapa mereka yang bukan orang berada?  

Contoh 1: 
Abang saya pernah bercerita mengenai rakan sebilik dia semasa dikolej. Rakan tersebut adalah anak salah seorang Tan Sri dan juga Ketua Setiausaha (Secretary General) di kementerian tertentu. 

Anak Tan Sri ini mendapat biasiswa JPA, diberi elaun RM500 sebulan dan sebuah kereta olih bapanya.  

Walaupun dari segi keputusan rakan abang saya ini tidaklah secemerlang berbanding dengan abang saya. Namun beliau mendapat biasiswa JPA dan abang saya tidak. Abang saya dibiayai olih pinjaman yang diberi olih yayasan tertentu.  
Selepas tamat universiti, rakan sebilik abang saya ini telah melanjutkan pelajaran ke peringkat Ijazah Serjana. 

Selepas tamat rakan ini tidak mahu kembali ke Malaysia untuk berkhidmat di sini.  
Selepas tamat abang saya pulak terus berkhidmat dengan kerajaan. Beliau juga dapat melanjutkan pelajaran ke peringkat Serjana dan Doktor Falsafah.  

Sekarang abang saya adalah ketua jabatan disalahsatu Fakulti di IPTA. 

Rakan sebilik anak Tan Sri itu pulak masih berkerja diluar negara.  

Contoh 2: 
Ada dikalangan kawan-kawan isteri saya telah diberi biasiswa olih kerajaan Singapura selepas mendapat keputusan cemerlang di peringkat SPM. Selepas menamatkan khusus peringkat Ijazah mereka terus bekerja di Singapura.  

Contoh 3: 
Baru-baru ni (dalam setahun dua yang lalu) anak buah rakan sepejabat saya telah mendapat biasiswa dari kerajaan Singapura kerana keputusan cemerlang di peringkat SPM.  

Budak ini telah memohon biasiswa JPA tetapi gagal walaupun mendapat straight A's.  

Ada lagi beberapa contoh yang lain yang pernah dicerita kepada saya. Diantara persoalan saya: 
(1) Kenapa mereka ini tidak mendapat biasiswa JPA walaupun keputusan mereka cemerlang? 
(2) Apakah kriteria untuk mendapat biasiswa JPA? 
(3) Adakah status ibubapa diambilkira? 
(4) Kenapa kerajaan asyik merungut pasal "brain-drain" bila ada dikalangan yang setia bekerja disini amat berkeliber?  

Banyak persoalan yang timbul dan tidak terjawab...  

Yang pasti, seperti kata Sdr. AKJ, ramai pulak isteri Menteri yang diberi anugerah walaupun sumbangan mereka tidaklah sepertimana yang diperkatakan.  

Malaysia, oh Malaysia, apo dah jadi?  

Sekian.

Saturday, May 16, 2009

Khairy ticks off PKR leaders on ‘hotel democracy’

BUKIT MERTAJAM: Umno Youth chief Khairy Jamaluddin has chided PKR leaders for treating democracy like a hotel where they can check in and out whenever they wished.

He said the resignation of Penanti assemblyman Mohamad Fairus Khairudin was proof that PKR did not uphold democracy and respect the wishes of the people who voted him in.

“You must honour your pledge to be their representative and not resign as and when you like. This is not a hotel where you can check in and check out anytime you feel like doing so.

“This involves the trust and expectations of the people who supported you,” he said after a meet-the-people session at the Guar Perahu mosque near here yesterday.

Khairy said his movement has started its meet-the-people programmes which would be continued even if by-elections are held in the areas.

“By-elections are not the main reason for Umno to be close to the people. We will be with them rain or shine,” he added.

Khairy said the wing had expressed its views on whether Barisan Nasional should contest in the Penanti by-election but declined to elaborate, adding that the wing would gather information and present them to the party leadership before a decision is made on Monday.

Khairy also urged opposition parties not to be engrossed in politicking as it was detrimental to the country which was facing an economic slowdown.

He expressed the hope that the Perak Mentri Besar issue would be resolved either through the courts or the state assembly and that the majority support in the assembly should be respected.

________________________
Comment:

I seriously think this young punk feels that the public has forgotten his corrupt ways in winning the UMNO Youth Chief post.  I for one would not forget who he is and what he represent!

He is really desperate to "promote" himself after laying low for way too long!  He seems to be a person that badly need a "fix" or else he would suffer from withdrawal syndrome, just like smokers that have not had their cigarette for a few hours! 

Who is he to "tick" off anyone? He has lost that "moral ground" to tick anyone and anything.

If Najib and Co do not fix this guy fast enough, the chances are he would be the real thorn in UMNO's recovery... 

The longer Najib & Co wait, the worst would be the repercussion for Najib as well as UMNO.  There is no two way about it!

Iktibar Daripada Cerita Presiden Obama - A Kadir Jasin

Komen saya terhadap posting Sdr. A Kadir Jasin yang bertarikh 16 Mei 2009.
_____________________________________

Sdr. A Kadir Jasin,

Di Malaysia sekarang ni kalau kita baling batu kearah sekelompok manusia, kebarangkalian batu tersebut mengena seorang "Datuk" amatlah tinggi!  

Selain anugerah kebesaran, perkara ini berlarutan sehingga ke penganugerahan biasiswa!  

Pemberian biasiswa di Malaysia lebih kepada "technical know who" dan bukan "technical know how" sperti juga pemberian kontrak-kontrak lumayan.  

Pada penghematan saya yang agak sempit, keutamaan diberi kepada anak-anak pembesar UMNO, MCA, MIC, dan pegawai-pegawai tinggi kerajaan.  Olih kerana itu terdapat ramai pelajar cemerlang yang "lari" ke negara lain.  

Disebabkan olih sifat serta kelakuan sesetengah insan berpangkat di Malaysia ini, negara yang paling beruntung adalah Singapura.  

Setiap tahun para pegawai Singapura akan menjelajah ke seluruh semenanjung Tanah Melayu untuk mencari serta menawarkan biasiswa kepada pelajar kita yang cemerlang tetapi diketepikan olih pihak berkenaan.  

Dan setiap tahun bila Parlimen kita bersidang, Menteri Sumber Manusia akan memberi alasan-alasan kenapa kita mengalami "brain drain".  

Menteri berkenaan juga akan mengariskan langkah-langkah bagi mengurangkan masaalah brain-drain ini. Diantara langkah-langkah yang pernah disebut adalah menawarkan pakej-pakej menarik untuk para intelek ini.  

Bolihkah kita buat kesimpulan bahawa kerajaan Malaysia telah gagal dalam mengekang "kehilangan tenaga intelek" ini kerana:  

(1) ketamakkan dalam memberi biasiswa kepada yang layak dan memerlukan?; 

(2) sifat mementingkan diri yang agak keterlaluan dikalangan pembesar-pembesar dan pegawai-pegawai tertinggi kerajaan serta parti politik?  

Bolihkah kita kata bahawa negara akan terus menderita "kehilangan tenaga intelek" akibat 

(1) dari sifat-sifat tamak para pemimpin-pemimpin serta anak-bini dan menantu? 

(2) dari ketidakikhlasan para pemimpin negara dalam menjalankan amanah, amanat serta mandat dari rakyat? 

(3) dari kekurangan daya pemikiran yang tajam dikalangan pemimpin-pemimpin negara?  

Sekian.

Friday, May 15, 2009

For MekYam

Salam MekYam,

I was browsing through my older postings and I notice a comment from you on the FELDA story.  I have since written more stories on FELDA.

For your information, I have changed my blog from "Quick Draw Botak" to "Dari Borneo ke Minang".

More "stories" about FELDA have been published...

Happy Reading...


Khairy Jamaluddin - Is Najib easing media censorship on him?

After some quiet months since the UMNO General Assembly, suddenly KJ is quoted in NST slamming Anwar Ibrahim.  Twice in fact!

Is the media censorship on him easing?

Is Najib relenting to KJ?

Is KJ beginning to "promote" himself again after remaining docile/laying low since his infamous UMNO Youth Chief win?

Does KJ really think everyone has forgotten how he won the UMNO Youth Chief post?

Does KJ think he won the UMNO election fair and square?

Interesting...

KJ slams Anwar for Perak fresh polls dare

NST online - 14 May 2009
SEREMBAN
, Thurs: 

Umno Youth chief Khairy Jamaluddin yesterday hit out at opposition leader Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim for daring Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak to call for elections in Perak.

Khairy said the Barisan Nasional was not afraid of state elections as alleged by Anwar and was ready for anything.

“We have nothing to be afraid of and are ready to face the people,” he said.

He also called the
Parti Keadilan Rakyat leader a hypocrite for courting defections last year but favouring elections when they occurred against the Pakatan Rakyat.

“When things work in their favour, they are quiet but when we managed to obtain a stay of execution, they claim there’s a conspiracy.
“Ultimately, it is a question of principles, consistency and standards, which is something they (the opposition) don’t stand for,” he said after attending an Umno Youth meeting at the state Umno building near here today.

Khairy said the political situation in Perak could only be solved through two processes, legal or legislative.

“Let the legal process be completed first before proceeding with the legislative process,” he said, adding that
Datuk Seri Dr Zambry Abdul Kadir was the rightful Perak menteri besar as BN had the majority of state seats.

He said the
BN would work hard to win over the people of Perak.
____________________________________

Comment:
I would love to use profanities to describe how I view this person.  However I would not do it simply because I would not stoop too low to his level of dignity, integrity, credibility etc...

Khairy: Anwar a hypocrite

NST online - 14 May 2009 

SEREMBAN: Umno Youth chief Khairy Jamaluddin yesterday hit out at opposition leader Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim for daring Barisan Nasional chairman Datuk Seri Najib Razak to call for elections in Perak.

Khairy said Barisan Nasional was not afraid of state elections as alleged by Anwar

"We have nothing to be afraid of and are ready to face the people." 

He also called the
Parti Keadilan Rakyat leader a hypocrite for courting defections last year but favouring elections when they occurred against the Pakatan Rakyat.

"When things work in their favour, they are quiet but when we managed to obtain a stay of execution, they claim there's a conspiracy.
"Ultimately, it is a question of principles, consistency and standards, which is something they (the opposition) don't stand for," he said after attending an Umno Youth meeting at the state Umno building near here yesterday.

Khairy said the political situation in Perak could only be solved through two processes -- legal or legislative.

"Let the legal process be completed first before proceeding with the legislative process," he said, adding that
Datuk Seri Dr Zambry Abdul Kadir was the rightful Perak menteri besar as BN had the majority of state seats.
________________________________________
Comment:
One hypocrite talking bad about another...
These two jokers are some of the biggest hypocrites today...

Wednesday, May 13, 2009

The Beauty of Mathematics...

When I was in school, the only subject that I could really excel in was Mathematics.  Physics was a distant second!   [Kindly note that here "excel" is relative to the other subjects that I took.]

To me, mathematics was easy or "kacang putih" as some would put it.

Why is mathematics easy?

It is easy because there is a definite answer to almost every problem, save of course when we talk about infinity and complex numbers.  But, in every day life, how many things involve infinity and complex numbers? 

Over time, I find that mathematics is very useful in testing logic dished out by people, especially politician.  Every equation must be equal, otherwise we cannot terms it as "equation".  The left side must be equal to the right.

As I have written previously, the logic behind what is affordable to a person could be quantified if we know (for a fact) his/her sources of income.  No amount of convincing would be sufficient to defy the logic of mathematics.

Using mathematics we would be able to reasonably determine whether a salaried person is living within their means.  This is especially so if the person holds public office.

If what is earned legally does not equate to ones lifestyle, then some facts must be missing.

For example, if I am earning RM5,000 a month or RM60,000 a year, I certainly would not be able to afford a RM1 million car or house.  My monthly salary would definitely not be sufficient to pay my monthly installment.

Unless, of course, I come from a rich and well-to-do family that has a foundation to its name.  The other possibility is the accumulation of wealth through marriage i.e. I married a rich spouse.  Or I may have won a huge jackpot lottery or I have a "side"  business.  Then in these cases, my monthly salary are meant just for pocket money...

There are, I think, a few more possibilities of getting and/or being rich but nevertheless not too many.

It would be a totally different scenario if I am into business (legitimate or otherwise).  Then how much I could make would be very much dependent on how hard I work and, of course, a little luck.

This is the beauty of mathematics.  Mathematics is based on logic.  Logic that could be comprehended by humans, like you and I.  

If we were to go by this "comprehending"  logic, could we conclude that politicians (at least the ones living the lifestyle of the super rich and famous) are not human?

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Bakke Salleh Contract Extended...?

There are whispers that Bakke Salleh's contract as Group Managing Director of FELDA Holdings Berhad (FHB) has been extended by another two years.

It is interesting to note the following:
(1) Who extended his contract?
(2) Is the extension valid?

As far as Directorship in companies are concern, the tenure as Director could only be extended by the majority shareholder(s) at an Annual General Meeting (AGM) or Extraordinary General Meeting (EGM).

If the majority shareholder(s) does/did not consent to the extension, the Director concern is  retired and be out of the Board.

The first question that come to mind is "was there an AGM or EGM?".

If there was no AGM or EGM then how was Bakke Salleh's contract extended?

Some quarters would insinuate that Rosmah extended Bakke's contract.  There are no hard evidence to point towards that direction though it would be good if it could be proven to be true.

If there was an AGM or EGM, why did KPF allow such extension?  

If KPF did object to the extension then Bakke's extension would be invalid.

If KPF did not object to the extension then KPF has failed to perform its fiduciary duty to its members.   Those responsible should be removed from KPF's Board and/or as representative in FHB's Board.

With Bakke's extension, one thing is quite certain - he would continue milking the FELDA Group of Companies and possibly FELDA, the government agency itself.

There is however a faint ray of hope if a new Chairman (to replace Yusof Noor) with high integrity and credibility is chosen to helm FELDA, the agency.  

Unfortunately, until that happens, the whole Group (companies as well as agency) would continue to be milked by unscrupulous people, Bakke included.

Many years ago, I have cautioned those with knowledge that the beginning to an end of FELDA (agency and companies) starts the moment Yusof Noor is appointed as Chairman.  

Yusof Noor is/was a politician and as (ex-)politician he has too many quarters to satisfy.  FELDA is being used to satisfy those undeserving quarters.

So far I don't think I have been wrong in my assessment...

To R M Alias and others who build FELDA over the years, your hard work and prudence is going to be a waste by politicians and unscrupulous people like Bakke Salleh.  I am sorry...!!!


Muhyiddin says he can't predict what will happen in Perak - The Malaysian Insider

My comments on The Malaysian Insider's article "Muhyiddin says he can't predict what will happen in Perak" - Tuesday, 12 May 2009
________________________________
Perak - Dissolve the State Assembly

When there is a political deadlock, the rakyat must be given a chance to decide who should represent their interests.

Since the High Court has made a ruling, the ruling must be uphold.  

And whoever has been declared the rightful MB must seek consent to dissolve the State Assembly.  

The ruler, in this case the Sultan of Perak, must seriously consider allowing the people to decide who should administer the State.  

If appeal and counter-appeal are allowed to proceed, no one party would be satisfied. In the end, the rakyat suffers.

So it is only logical to go back to the voters, the rakyat, to choose who they want.  

This process is a waste of public funds but, unfortunately, it has to be done.  

Neither party would want to give in to the other.  

So let the rakyat decide. All parties then must abide by the rakyat's decision.

Common sense must prevail...!!!

Komen Terhadap Cadangan Pak Belalang diblog A Kadir Jasin

PakBelalang telah membuat cadangan diblog A Kadir Jasin pada artikel "Sepanjang Jalan Perjalanan" bertarikh 08 Mei 2009.
Saya telah memberi sedikit komen yang tidak diminta mengenai cadangan PakBelalang.
_________________________________

PakBelalang telah menulis:

SHAH ALAM, May 11 (Bernama) -- Umno will harness the power of the new media to attract the young towards the party but not in the way the opposition has been using them to undermine leaders of other parties.

comment:

UMNO kalau nak pikat anak-anak muda Melayu berjinak dengan parti UMNO senang saja.

Tiap-tiap cawangan mesti disediakan UMNO Social Club House untuk anak-anak muda. Adakan berbagai aktiviti social yang boleh menyatu-padukan masyarakat pemuda dicawangan-cawangan. Tak payah cerita pasal politik sangat. Make it a very informal interaction among themselves and give them free hand to organise whatever activities they want to initiate. Ketua Bahagian and Ketua Cawangan mestilah proaktif, dan beri sokongan dan guidance untuk mereka.

Kalau facilities di Club House itu canggih dengan segala kelengkapan seperti internet, gym dll. lagi kuat tarikan anak-anak muda bersama UMNO.

12:23 AM

_________________________________
Sdr. A Kadir Jasin,  

Mohon permisi untok komen sikit mengenai cadangan PakBelalang.  

Cadangan PakBelalang memang menarik dan berkemungkinan berjaya menarik golongan muda. Cuma kalau dibuka kepada semua golongan mesyarakat termasuk kaum lain, saya rasa bolih "kill two birds with one stone".  

Akan tetapi cadangan ini mungkin susah untok dilaksanakan kerana kebanyakkan para pemimpin UMNO disetiap peringkat amat pentingkan diri sendiri.  

Maka agak susah untuk mereka membuka kemudahan kepada mesyarakat umum jika tiada "pulangan yang memuaskan" untuk diri sendiri.  

Kebanyakkan pemimpin UMNO sekarang amat "shortsighted". Bukan seperti pemimpin UMNO dulu kala.  

Yang utama adalah kekayaan dan kesenangan diri sendiri dan bukan mesyarakat.  

Jika sesuatu cadangan itu bernas tetapi tidak memberi pulangan yang memuaskan dalam masa terdekat maka cadangan tersebut tidak baik.  

UMNO sekarang memilih untok "berkasta". Golongan elit yang kaya raya dan golongan miskin, papa kedana.  

Golongan miskin menjadi hamba kepada golongan kaya untuk "suap pagi makan pagi, suap petang makan petang".  

Semua ini dengan alasan budi yang ditaburkan olih para pemimpin terdahulu.  

Sekian.

Monday, May 11, 2009

Perak...

The High Court declared Nizar as the rightful MB of Perak.  

What next?

The only certainty is "more resources would be wasted..."

Simple Mathematics - Part 2 of 2

We all know that the current MB of Selangor (Khalid Ibrahim from PKR) declared his monthly salary as RM50,000+.  This figure is inclusive of entertainment allowance etc.

Assuming Khalid's gross monthly salary (everything included) is RM55,000.

For simplicity sake, let us assume that EPF deduction is 11% and tax/zakat deduction is 27%.

On a RM55,000 salary, RM6,050 per month would be deducted as EPF contribution.  

Applying a 27% deduction for taxes/zakat on the balance RM48,950 would mean a take-home pay of RM35,733.50.

Assuming that all Khalid and his family needs are taken care off by the State Government, he could theoretically save RM35,733.50 per month.  

This effectively means Khalid would not have any pocket money, his wife would not be given any cash for whatever she needs or wants to buy.  His children would also not be given any pocket money.  All household expenses would be borne by the State Government.  His personal cars would not be refuelled and remained parked at home. 

Assuming Khalid wants to build a RM14 million home when he retires from politics, he would need to  save RM35,733.50 per month for 391.79 months!  That would roughly be 32.65 years!

If Khalid is shrewed enough, he would invest to get dividend income.  Assuming this is done, Khalid would still need more than 25 years to amass such amount.  When the time do come, the RM14 million home now would probably cost RM35 million then (32 years from now!).

So by simple logic (though flawed), there is no way politicians to amass such wealth  unless:

(1) their monthly salary is, say, at least RM200,000 and they are entitled to huge yearly bonuses;
(2) they are involved in business; or
(3) they abuse their power and positions!

We know for a fact that:

(1) the Government does not pay RM200,000 per month to a Menteri Besar (MB);
(2) politicians holding public office (MBs included) are not allowed to be involved in business; and
(3) the only way to amass such wealth is through abuse of power and position!

Unless of course there are exceptions to the rule when certain personalities or positions are involved, it is quite difficult to comprehend answers from these politicians.

The only other exception is if the person is already a multi-millionaire well before entering politics.  Then there are valid grounds to think otherwise.

But then again, we the rakyat, the voters are fools... Are we not?

Simple Mathematics - Part 1 of 2

A lot of times politicians think the public/rakyat are stupid. Real stupid!

One such politician is the ex-MB of Selangor who happens to be dentist by training.

Let us look at simple mathematics.  

If a person earns RM50,000 per month, the yearly salary would be RM600,000.  

This is a gross figure.  We have not deducted EPF contribution, taxes/zakat and the likes.  If we were to minus all the deductions then the "take home" pay would be much less.

It has been alleged that an ex-MB of Selangor from UMNO has built a home costing RM14 million some where in Shah Alam.  

Assuming that his take-home pay is RM50,000 per month and this figure is taken after deducting all his expenses, it would take him 280 months (23.3 years) to save up to RM14 million.  For simplicity sake, let us assume that there are no interests or dividends earned from the savings.

If such savings were indeed possible, then this dentist would have been making such savings since he was 21 years old.

But when he was 21 years old, he was still a dentistry student in University of Malaya!

So how is it possible for this dentist to amass such wealth through his monthly salary if he is not involved in business?

If he is (or was) involved in business, was it allowed?  What business was it?

Or was he involved in abuse of power during his tenure as MB of Selangor?

A lot of insinuations and allegations can be made.  It is the duty of the Malaysian Anti Corruption Commission (MACC) to initiate an investigation into these insinuations and allegations on the ex-MB of Selangor.

If Najib is serious into wanting to regain public trust towards UMNO/BN, he should seriously consider requesting MACC to investigate.

The History Guide... What is history?

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What follows are a series of quotations about history and the historian's craft. They have been culled from a variety of sources and they appear here in totally random order. Their purpose is to incite, energize and stimulate your historical imagination.

*           *           *

"'History,' Stephen said, 'is a nightmare from which I am trying to awake.'" James Joyce

"Since history has no properly scientific value, its only purpose is educative. And if historians neglect to educate the public, if they fail to interest it intelligently in the past, then all their historical learning is valueless except in so far as it educates themselves." G. M. Trevelyan.

"To each eye, perhaps, the outlines of a great civilization present a different picture. In the wide ocean upon which we venture, the possible ways and directions are many; and the same studies which have served for my work might easily, in other hands, not only receive a wholly different treatment and application, but lead to essentially different conclusions." Jacob Burckhardt

"History is the witness that testifies to the passing of time; it illuminates reality, vitalizes memory, provides guidance in daily life, and brings us tidings of antiquity." Cicero

"The past is useless. That explains why it is past." Wright Morris

"Faithfulness to the truth of history involves far more than a research, however patient and scrupulous, into special facts. Such facts may be detailed with the most minute exactness, and yet the narrative, taken as a whole, may be unmeaning or untrue. The narrator must seek to imbue himself with the life and spirit of the time. He must study events in their bearings near and remote; in the character, habits, and manners of those who took part in them. He must himself be, as it were, a sharer or a spectator of the action he describes." Francis Parkman

"History . . . is indeed little more than the register of the crimes, follies, and misfortunes of mankind." Edward Gibbon

"There is properly no history; only biography." Ralph Waldo Emerson

"The study of history is the best medicine for a sick mind; for in history you have a record of the infinite variety of human experience plainly set out for all to see; and in that record you can find yourself and your country both examples and warnings; fine things to take as models, base things rotten through and through, to avoid." Livy

"What experience and history teach is this-that people and governments never have learned anything from history, or acted on principles deduced from it." G. W. F. Hegel

"Everything must be recaptured and relocated in the general framework of history, so that despite the difficulties, the fundamental paradoxes and contradictions, we may respect the unity of history which is also the unity of life." Fernand Braudel

"The function off the historian is neither to love the past nor to emancipate himself from the past, but to master and understand it as the key to the understanding of the present." E. H. Carr

"If you do not like the past, change it." William L. Burton

"History does nothing, possesses no enormous wealth, fights no battles. It is rather man, the real, living man, who does everything, possesses, fights. It is notHistory, as if she were a person apart, who uses men as a means to work out her purposes, but history itself is nothing but the activity of men pursuing their purposes." Karl Marx

"An historian should yield himself to his subject, become immersed in the place and period of his choice, standing apart from it now and then for a fresh view."Samuel Eliot Morison

"History is for human self-knowledge. Knowing yourself means knowing, first, what it is to be a person; secondly, knowing what it is to be the kind of person you are; and thirdly, knowing what it is to be the person you are and nobody else is. Knowing yourself means knowing what you can do; and since nobody knows what they can do until they try, the only clue to what man can do is what man has done. The value of history, then, is that it teaches us what man has done and thus what man is." R. G. Collingwood

"History is more or less bunk." Henry Ford

"That historians should give their own country a break, I grant you; but not so as to state things contrary to fact. For there are plenty of mistakes made by writers out of ignorance, and which any man finds it difficult to avoid. But if we knowingly write what is false, whether for the sake of our country or our friends or just to be pleasant, what difference is there between us and hack writers? Readers should be very attentive to and critical of historians, and they in turn should be constantly on their guard." Polybius

"You have reckoned that history ought to judge the past and to instruct the contemporary world as to the future. The present attempt does not yield to that high office. It will merely tell how it really was." Leopold von Ranke

"Time in its irresistible and ceaseless flow carries along on its flood all created things and drowns them in the depths of obscurity. . . . But the tale of history forms a very strong bulwark against the stream of time, and checks in some measure its irresistible flow, so that, of all things done in it, as many as history has taken over it secures and binds together, and does not allow them to slip away into the abyss of oblivion." Anna Comnena

"Only a good-for-nothing is not interested in his past." Sigmund Freud

"Every past is worth condemning." Friedrich Nietzsche

"The historian does simply not come in to replenish the gaps of memory. He constantly challenges even those memories that have survived intact." Yosef Hayim Yerushalmi

"Each age tries to form its own conception of the past. Each age writes the history of the past anew with reference to the conditions uppermost in its own time."Frederick Jackson Turner

The History Guide | Feedback |

Last Revised -- May 13, 2004

Source: http://www.historyguide.org/history.html